Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?

Polymarket traders put "220-239" at 9.5% on "Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?". $60K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 30 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 27.

Most likely right now
220-239
–10%
PoliticsVol $60KTotal volume $59KLiquidity $186Kin 10 days (Oct 27)
Current probability

Oct 18 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
220-239
9.50%
–
240-259
9.50%
–
260-279
9.50%
–
280-299
9.50%
–
200-219
8.50%
–
300-319
8.50%
–
320-339
8.00%
–
340-359
6.50%
–
180-199
5.50%
–
360-379
5.00%
–
400-419
4.95%
–
380-399
4.00%
–
160-179
3.45%
–
420-439
2.95%
–
440-459
2.65%
–
140-159
2.20%
–
460-479
2.15%
–
480-499
1.90%
–
500-519
1.35%
–
120-139
0.75%
–
540-559
0.65%
–
100-119
0.55%
–
520-539
0.50%
–
580+
0.50%
–
560-579
0.40%
–
60-79
0.35%
–
80-99
0.35%
–
<20
0.05%
–
20-39
0.05%
–
40-59
0.05%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.