Fed Decision in April?

Polymarket traders put "No change" at 52.5% on "Fed Decision in April?". $2.1K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Apr 28.

Most likely right now
No change
–53%
EconomyVol $2.1KTotal volume $2.1KLiquidity $51Kin 6 months (Apr 28)
Current probability

Oct 29 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
No change
52.5%
–
25 bps increase
24.0%
–
25 bps decrease
13.5%
–
50+ bps decrease
8.50%
–
50+ bps increase
6.00%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.