Fed Decision in March?
Polymarket traders put "25 bps increase" at 48.0% on "Fed Decision in March?". $598 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Mar 18.
Most likely right now
25 bps increase
–48%
EconomyVol $598Total volume $598Liquidity $5.1Kin 5 months (Mar 18)
Current probability
Oct 28 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
25 bps increase
48.0%
–
No change
34.0%
–
50+ bps increase
9.00%
–
50+ bps decrease
6.50%
–
25 bps decrease
5.50%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
