Federal District Senate Election: 1st Place

Most likely right now
Michelle Bolsonaro
1.063%
PoliticsVol $703Total volume $11KLiquidity $122Kin 1 months (Oct 4)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Michelle Bolsonaro
63.0%
1.0
Leila do Vôlei
29.0%
6.0
Erika Kokay
5.25%
8.6
Ronaldo Fonseca
2.40%
2.3
Bia Kicis
0.95%
0.9
Avenir Rosa
0.55%
Professor Guilherme Amorim
0.35%
Tiago
0.25%
Sebastião Coelho
0.20%
Zanata
0.20%
David Horn
0.15%
Guto Felício dos Santos
0.15%
Marley
0.15%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.