FL-25 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory

Most likely right now
Moskowitz 25%+
99%
PoliticsVol $20Total volume $50KLiquidity $130KComments 1Closed (Aug 18)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Moskowitz 25%+
98.6%
Moskowitz 20–25%
0.05%
Moskowitz 15–20%
0.05%
Moskowitz 10–15%
0.05%
Moskowitz 5–10%
0.05%
Moskowitz <5%
0.05%
Larkin <5%
0.05%
Larkin 5–10%
0.05%
Larkin 10–15%
0.05%
Larkin 15–20%
0.05%
Larkin 20–25%
0.05%
Larkin 25%+
0.05%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.