Florida Republican Governor Primary Margin of Victory

Most likely right now
Donalds 20–25%
99%
PoliticsVol $79Total volume $87KLiquidity $445KClosed (Aug 18)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Donalds 20–25%
98.5%
Donalds 15–20%
1.35%
Donalds 25–30%
0.50%
Donalds 40%+
0.30%
Donalds 30–35%
0.30%
Donalds 10–15%
0.30%
Donalds 5–10%
0.20%
Donalds 35–40%
0.05%
Donalds <5%
0.05%
Collins wins
0.05%
Fishback wins
0.05%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.