Gemini Argon released on...?
Polymarket traders put "No release by October 31" at 40.0% on "Gemini Argon released on...?". $3.8K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 25 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 1.
Most likely right now
No release by October 31
–40%
TechVol $3.8KTotal volume $3.9KLiquidity $6.8Kin 24 days (Nov 1)
Current probability
Oct 8 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
No release by October 31
40.0%
–
October 24
17.0%
–
On or prior to October 8
13.5%
–
October 18
12.0%
–
October 23
11.5%
–
October 9
11.0%
–
October 31
11.0%
–
October 13
9.50%
–
October 22
9.50%
–
October 27
9.50%
–
October 29
9.50%
–
October 10
9.00%
–
October 28
8.50%
–
October 12
8.00%
–
October 17
8.00%
–
October 30
8.00%
–
October 26
7.50%
–
October 16
6.50%
–
October 11
6.00%
–
October 15
5.00%
–
October 21
5.00%
–
October 14
4.50%
–
October 19
4.50%
–
October 20
4.50%
–
October 25
4.50%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
