GitHub.com critical incident by...?
Polymarket traders put "October 31" at 72.5% on "GitHub.com critical incident by...?". Up 3.0%p from yesterday. $394 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 31.
Most likely right now
October 31
▲3.073%
TechVol $394Total volume $394Liquidity $71in 1 months (Oct 31)
Current probability
Sep 29 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
October 31
72.5%
▲3.0
October 15
70.0%
▲2.5
September 30
47.5%
▲9.0
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
