GitHub.com critical incident by...?

Polymarket traders put "November 15" at 81.5% on "GitHub.com critical incident by...?". Up 10.5%p from yesterday. $1.1K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 16.

Most likely right now
November 15
▲10.582%
TechVol $1.1KTotal volume $1.1KLiquidity $1.5Kin 23 days (Nov 16)
Current probability

Oct 24 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
November 15
81.5%
▲10.5
October 31
53.5%
▲16.5

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.