Gemini Carbon released on...?

Polymarket traders put "On or prior to October 31" at 11.5% on "Gemini Carbon released on...?". $310 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 32 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.

Most likely right now
On or prior to October 31
–12%
TechVol $310Total volume $310Liquidity $3.1Kin 1 months (Dec 1)
Current probability

Oct 29 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
On or prior to October 31
11.5%
–
November 1
11.5%
–
November 2
11.5%
–
November 3
11.5%
–
November 4
11.5%
–
November 5
11.5%
–
November 6
11.5%
–
November 7
11.5%
–
November 8
11.5%
–
November 9
11.5%
–
November 10
11.5%
–
November 11
11.5%
–
November 12
11.5%
–
November 13
11.5%
–
November 14
11.5%
–
November 15
11.5%
–
November 16
11.5%
–
November 17
11.5%
–
November 18
11.5%
–
November 19
11.5%
–
November 20
11.5%
–
November 21
11.5%
–
November 22
11.5%
–
November 23
11.5%
–
November 24
11.5%
–
November 25
11.5%
–
November 26
11.5%
–
November 27
11.5%
–
November 28
11.5%
–
November 29
11.5%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.