Grok 5 released by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 62.0% on "Grok 5 released by...?". Up 12.0%p from yesterday. $74 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31
▲12.062%
TechVol $74Total volume $18KLiquidity $3.7Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
62.0%
▲12.0
November 30
19.0%
▲5.0
October 31
2.00%
–

Probability over time

December 31
November 30
October 31
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.