Grok 5 released by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 69.0% on "Grok 5 released by...?". Up 1.5%p from yesterday. $100 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31
1.569%
TechVol $100Total volume $6.6KLiquidity $6.2Kin 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
69.0%
1.5
November 30
48.5%
1.0
October 31
36.5%
1.5
August 31
0.25%
0.5

Probability over time

December 31
November 30
October 31
August 31
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.