Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Polymarket traders put "55%+" at 81.7% on "Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?". Up 9.7%p from yesterday. $621 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
55%+
▲9.782%
TechVol $621Total volume $152KLiquidity $8.4Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
55%+
81.7%
▲9.7
60%+
45.5%
▲2.5
65%+
25.0%
–
70%+
10.0%
–
75%+
7.35%
–

Probability over time

55%+
60%+
65%+
70%+
75%+
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.