Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Polymarket traders put "50%+" at 97.1% on "Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?". Unchanged from yesterday. $569 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
50%+
–97%
TechVol $569Total volume $116KLiquidity $3.8Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
50%+
97.1%
–
55%+
63.5%
▲3.0
60%+
27.5%
▲2.0
65%+
12.0%
–
70%+
3.85%
–

Probability over time

50%+
55%+
60%+
65%+
70%+
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.