Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Polymarket traders put "45%+" at 75.3% on "Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?". Up 0.7%p from yesterday. $1.3K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.
Most likely right now
45%+
▲0.775%
TechVol $1.3KTotal volume $42KLiquidity $5.8KComments 1in 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
45%+
75.3%
▲0.7
50%+
55.5%
–
55%+
35.5%
▲1.0
60%+
22.5%
▲8.0
65%+
6.40%
▲1.9
Probability over time
45%+
50%+
55%+
60%+
65%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
