Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Polymarket traders put "45%+" at 56.9% on "Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?". Up 9.7%p from yesterday. $1.0K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
45%+
▲9.757%
TechVol $1.0KTotal volume $149KLiquidity $2.6KComments 1in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
45%+
56.9%
▲9.7
50%+
46.0%
▲16.5
60%+
21.0%
▲6.0
55%+
20.5%
▲2.0
65%+
2.15%
–

Probability over time

45%+
50%+
60%+
55%+
65%+
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.