Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Polymarket traders put "50%+" at 80.0% on "Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?". Up 1.5%p from yesterday. $1.6K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.

Most likely right now
50%+
1.580%
TechVol $1.6KTotal volume $47KLiquidity $9.8KComments 1in 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
50%+
80.0%
1.5
55%+
51.5%
5.5
60%+
27.5%
6.0
65%+
9.00%
70%+
6.00%

Probability over time

50%+
55%+
60%+
65%+
70%+
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.