Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Polymarket traders put "55%+" at 82.5% on "Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
55%+
▼1.083%
TechVol -Total volume $131KLiquidity $7.7KComments 2in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
55%+
82.5%
▼1.0
60%+
46.5%
–
65%+
23.0%
▼5.5
70%+
7.50%
–

Probability over time

55%+
60%+
65%+
70%+
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.