Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Polymarket traders put "60%+" at 62.0% on "Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?". Down 4.5%p from yesterday. $247 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
60%+
▼4.562%
TechVol $247Total volume $99KLiquidity $10Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
60%+
62.0%
▼4.5
65%+
34.5%
–
70%+
16.5%
–
75%+
11.5%
–
80%+
7.75%
–
90%+
5.40%
–

Probability over time

60%+
65%+
70%+
75%+
80%+
90%+
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.