Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?

Polymarket traders put "September 19" at 43.5% on "Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?". $1.8K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 30.

Most likely right now
September 19
44%
PoliticsVol $1.8KTotal volume $1.8KLiquidity $2.0Kin 13 days (Sep 30)
Current probability

Sep 18 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
September 19
43.5%
September 23
43.0%
September 18
35.5%
September 20
30.5%
September 21
30.0%
September 28
28.5%
September 22
27.0%
September 24
23.0%
September 29
20.5%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.