Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
Polymarket traders put "United Russia (ER)" at 71.5% on "Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?". $360K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 20.
Most likely right now
United Russia (ER)
–72%
PoliticsVol $360KTotal volume $22.1MLiquidity $2.3MComments 413in 24 days (Sep 20)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
United Russia (ER)
71.5%
–
New People (NL)
21.9%
–
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
5.45%
–
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
1.25%
–
Yabloko
0.25%
–
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
0.15%
–
Rodina
0.15%
–
Civic Platform (GP)
0.05%
–
Probability over time
United Russia (ER)
New People (NL)
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
Yabloko
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
