Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Polymarket traders put "United Russia (ER)" at 98.6% on "Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?". Up 18.1%p from yesterday. $9.9M traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 20.

Most likely right now
United Russia (ER)
▲18.199%
PoliticsVol $9.9MTotal volume $49.6MLiquidity $4.8MComments 1,459Closed (Sep 20)
Current probability

Sep 21 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
United Russia (ER)
98.6%
▲18.1
New People (NL)
1.35%
▼17.1
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
0.05%
–
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
0.05%
–
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
0.05%
▼0.8
Rodina
0.05%
–
Civic Platform (GP)
0.05%
–
Yabloko
0.05%
–

Probability over time

United Russia (ER)
New People (NL)
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
Rodina
02550751008/259/39/79/119/159/199/21
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-09-21 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.