How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in November?
Polymarket traders put "5.06%" at 38.0% on "How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in November?". Down 23.5%p from yesterday. $1.4K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.
Most likely right now
5.06%
▼23.538%
EconomyVol $1.4KTotal volume $1.4KLiquidity $3.3Kin 26 days (Dec 1)
Current probability
Nov 5 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
5.06%
38.0%
▼23.5
5.09%
34.5%
▼21.5
5.13%
30.0%
▼10.0
5.17%
24.0%
▼16.5
5.21%
14.5%
▼22.5
5.25%
14.0%
▼19.0
5.29%
14.0%
▼13.0
5.33%
13.5%
▼9.0
5.38%
13.0%
▼5.5
Probability over time
5.06%
5.09%
5.13%
5.17%
5.21%
5.25%
2026-11-04 ~ 2026-11-05 · y-axis %
