How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
Polymarket traders put "4.82%" at 61.0% on "How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?". Down 1.5%p from yesterday. $58 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 30.
Most likely right now
4.82%
▼1.561%
EconomyVol $58Total volume $58Liquidity $130in 25 days (Sep 30)
Current probability
Sep 5 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
4.82%
61.0%
▼1.5
4.91%
50.5%
–
5.10%
5.00%
▼1.0
Probability over time
4.82%
4.91%
5.10%
2026-09-04 ~ 2026-09-05 · y-axis %
