How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in October?

Polymarket traders put "5.67%" at 83.5% on "How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in October?". Up 33.5%p from yesterday. $3.4K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 1.

Most likely right now
5.67%
▲33.584%
EconomyVol $3.4KTotal volume $3.4KLiquidity $2.2Kin 29 days (Nov 1)
Current probability

Oct 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
5.67%
83.5%
▲33.5
5.70%
66.5%
▲40.5
5.73%
58.0%
▲32.0
5.76%
42.5%
▲16.5
5.95%
41.5%
▲16.0
5.85%
26.5%
▼24.0
5.80%
22.5%
▼3.5
5.90%
14.0%
▼11.5
6.00%
13.5%
▼12.0

Probability over time

5.67%
5.70%
5.73%
5.76%
5.95%
5.85%
025507510010/210/3
2026-10-02 ~ 2026-10-03 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.