How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in October?
Polymarket traders put "5.08%" at 86.5% on "How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in October?". Up 36.5%p from yesterday. $4.0K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 1.
Most likely right now
5.08%
▲36.587%
EconomyVol $4.0KTotal volume $4.0KLiquidity $2.0Kin 29 days (Nov 1)
Current probability
Oct 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
5.08%
86.5%
▲36.5
5.11%
62.0%
▼12.0
5.25%
59.0%
▲9.0
5.14%
57.0%
▲31.0
5.17%
52.5%
▲26.5
5.20%
42.5%
▲16.5
5.30%
38.0%
▲12.0
5.35%
25.0%
▼1.0
5.45%
15.5%
▼10.5
Probability over time
5.08%
5.11%
5.25%
5.14%
5.17%
5.20%
2026-10-02 ~ 2026-10-03 · y-axis %
