How low will 2-year Treasury yield get in November?
Polymarket traders put "Below 4.44%" at 53.5% on "How low will 2-year Treasury yield get in November?". Up 5.0%p from yesterday. $1.1K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.
Most likely right now
Below 4.44%
▲5.054%
EconomyVol $1.1KTotal volume $1.0KLiquidity $2.5Kin 26 days (Dec 1)
Current probability
Nov 5 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Below 4.44%
53.5%
▲5.0
Below 4.41%
49.5%
▲4.0
Below 4.38%
44.0%
▲1.0
Below 4.32%
44.0%
▲6.5
Below 4.35%
42.0%
–
Below 4.29%
29.5%
▼5.5
Below 4.22%
8.50%
▼22.5
Below 4.18%
6.00%
▼22.5
Below 4.26%
5.50%
▼27.0
Probability over time
Below 4.44%
Below 4.41%
Below 4.38%
Below 4.32%
Below 4.35%
Below 4.29%
2026-11-04 ~ 2026-11-05 · y-axis %
