How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in October?
Polymarket traders put "Below 5.55%" at 67.0% on "How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in October?". Down 7.0%p from yesterday. $1.5K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 1.
Most likely right now
Below 5.55%
▼7.067%
EconomyVol $1.5KTotal volume $1.5KLiquidity $2.6Kin 29 days (Nov 1)
Current probability
Oct 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Below 5.55%
67.0%
▼7.0
Below 5.52%
58.5%
▲32.5
Below 5.49%
57.0%
▲31.0
Below 5.43%
50.0%
▲24.0
Below 5.46%
46.5%
▲20.5
Below 5.40%
33.5%
▲7.5
Below 5.35%
31.5%
▲5.5
Below 5.30%
23.5%
▼2.5
Below 5.25%
15.0%
▼11.0
Probability over time
Below 5.55%
Below 5.52%
Below 5.49%
Below 5.43%
Below 5.46%
Below 5.40%
2026-10-02 ~ 2026-10-03 · y-axis %
