How low will Lake Mead drop?

Most likely right now
Below 1,028 ft
5.045%
OtherVol $125Total volume $6.4KLiquidity $3.1Kin 8 months (Apr 15)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Below 1,028 ft
44.5%
5.0
1,028–1,033 ft
20.1%
1.8
Above 1,038 ft
16.5%
0.5
1,033–1,038 ft
11.5%
1.0

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.