How many all-time high temperature records will be broken at US weather stations in August 2026?

Most likely right now
21-60
29.012%
OtherVol $35Total volume $529Liquidity $410in 21 days (Sep 15)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
21-60
12.0%
29.0

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.