How many Republican House members not running in 2026?
Most likely right now
36–39
▲2.092%
PoliticsVol $36Total volume $73KLiquidity $68Kin 6 days (Aug 31)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
36–39
91.9%
▲2.0
40–43
2.65%
▼2.7
44+
1.50%
–
<24
1.45%
–
24–27
1.15%
–
32–35
0.55%
▼1.4
28–31
0.25%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
