How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of August 24?

Most likely right now
180-199
18.032%
PoliticsVol $1.1KTotal volume $14KLiquidity $20Kin 6 days (Aug 30)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
180-199
32.0%
18.0
220+
23.0%
12.0
200-219
20.5%
2.0
<160
14.5%
2.5
160-179
11.0%
8.0

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.