How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 14?
Polymarket traders put "170-189" at 29.5% on "How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 14?". Down 11.5%p from yesterday. $1.3K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 20.
Most likely right now
170-189
▼11.530%
PoliticsVol $1.3KTotal volume $1.3KLiquidity $15Kin 7 days (Sep 20)
Current probability
Sep 14 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
170-189
29.5%
▼11.5
210-229
25.5%
–
<170
24.5%
▼9.0
190-209
13.0%
▼30.0
230+
10.0%
▼9.5
Probability over time
170-189
210-229
<170
190-209
230+
2026-09-13 ~ 2026-09-14 · y-axis %
