Presidential Election Winner 2028
Polymarket traders put "JD Vance" at 19.9% on "Presidential Election Winner 2028". Unchanged from yesterday. $181K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 54 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 8.
Most likely right now
JD Vance
–20%
PoliticsVol $181KTotal volume $714.5MLiquidity $61.0MComments 1,046in 2.1 years (Nov 8)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
JD Vance
19.9%
–
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
13.2%
–
Jon Ossoff
10.3%
–
Gavin Newsom
8.05%
–
Marco Rubio
7.35%
▲1.6
Kamala Harris
4.60%
–
Josh Shapiro
3.05%
–
Pete Buttigieg
2.75%
–
Ron DeSantis
2.30%
–
James Talarico
1.90%
–
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1.75%
–
Tucker Carlson
1.75%
–
Andy Beshear
1.65%
–
Mark Kelly
1.35%
–
Donald Trump
1.25%
–
Thomas Massie
0.95%
–
Wes Moore
0.90%
–
Ro Khanna
0.85%
–
Rahm Emanuel
0.65%
–
JB Pritzker
0.55%
–
Ted Cruz
0.55%
–
Ivanka Trump
0.50%
–
Raphael Warnock
0.50%
–
Donald Trump Jr.
0.45%
–
Jamie Dimon
0.45%
–
Gretchen Whitmer
0.35%
–
Glenn Youngkin
0.15%
–
Tulsi Gabbard
0.15%
–
Greg Abbott
0.15%
–
Elon Musk
0.15%
–
Probability over time
JD Vance
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Jon Ossoff
Gavin Newsom
Marco Rubio
Kamala Harris
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
