Presidential Election Winner 2028
Most likely right now
JD Vance
–23%
PoliticsVol $206KTotal volume $692.3MLiquidity $63.8MComments 1,006in 2.2 years (Nov 7)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
JD Vance
23.3%
–
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
14.1%
–
Marco Rubio
10.8%
–
Jon Ossoff
9.75%
–
Gavin Newsom
8.20%
–
Kamala Harris
3.15%
▼0.6
Pete Buttigieg
2.45%
–
Josh Shapiro
2.45%
–
Donald Trump
2.35%
–
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1.55%
–
Mark Kelly
1.45%
–
Ron DeSantis
1.35%
–
Tucker Carlson
1.30%
–
Andy Beshear
1.15%
–
Wes Moore
0.95%
–
Ro Khanna
0.95%
–
Thomas Massie
0.95%
–
Greg Abbott
0.85%
–
Donald Trump Jr.
0.75%
–
Glenn Youngkin
0.65%
–
Elon Musk
0.65%
–
Jamie Dimon
0.65%
–
James Talarico
0.65%
–
Nikki Haley
0.55%
–
Michelle Obama
0.55%
–
Ivanka Trump
0.50%
–
Gretchen Whitmer
0.45%
–
JB Pritzker
0.35%
–
Tulsi Gabbard
0.25%
–
Raphael Warnock
0.25%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
