Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket traders put "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 17.9% on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028". $597K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 53 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 8.
Most likely right now
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
–18%
PoliticsVol $597KTotal volume $1.3BLiquidity $77.0MComments 843in 2.1 years (Nov 8)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
17.9%
–
Gavin Newsom
17.8%
▲0.8
Jon Ossoff
15.0%
–
Kamala Harris
7.45%
–
Josh Shapiro
5.95%
–
Pete Buttigieg
5.05%
–
James Talarico
3.00%
–
Andy Beshear
2.65%
▼0.5
Mark Kelly
2.55%
–
Bernie Sanders
2.20%
▼1.0
Wes Moore
2.05%
–
Rahm Emanuel
1.75%
–
Raphael Warnock
1.35%
▲0.6
J.B. Pritzker
1.25%
–
Ro Khanna
1.25%
–
Jon Stewart
1.05%
–
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1.00%
–
Gretchen Whitmer
0.70%
–
Cory Booker
0.65%
–
Chelsea Clinton
0.65%
–
Hunter Biden
0.45%
–
Mark Cuban
0.35%
–
Chris Murphy
0.35%
–
Michelle Obama
0.25%
–
Roy Cooper
0.25%
–
Stephen A. Smith
0.15%
–
Gina Raimondo
0.15%
–
Zohran Mamdani
0.15%
–
Jared Polis
0.15%
–
Barack Obama
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Gavin Newsom
Jon Ossoff
Kamala Harris
Josh Shapiro
Pete Buttigieg
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
