Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Most likely right now
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
2.121%
PoliticsVol $350KTotal volume $1.3BLiquidity $80.3MComments 798in 2.2 years (Nov 7)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
20.5%
2.1
Jon Ossoff
14.8%
Gavin Newsom
14.3%
0.6
Kamala Harris
7.45%
Pete Buttigieg
5.25%
Josh Shapiro
5.05%
Mark Kelly
3.05%
Rahm Emanuel
2.35%
Andy Beshear
2.30%
Ro Khanna
2.25%
James Talarico
2.15%
Wes Moore
1.50%
J.B. Pritzker
1.15%
Gretchen Whitmer
0.80%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
0.75%
Raphael Warnock
0.65%
Michelle Obama
0.65%
Mark Cuban
0.55%
Cory Booker
0.55%
Jon Stewart
0.55%
Bernie Sanders
0.45%
Hunter Biden
0.45%
Zohran Mamdani
0.35%
Roy Cooper
0.35%
John Fetterman
0.35%
Chris Murphy
0.35%
Stephen A. Smith
0.30%
Gina Raimondo
0.25%
Barack Obama
0.25%
Liz Cheney
0.25%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.