How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
Polymarket traders put "140-159" at 73.9% on "How many SpaceX launches in 2026?". Up 2.4%p from yesterday. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
140-159
▲2.474%
TechVol -Total volume $336KLiquidity $9.1Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
140-159
73.9%
▲2.4
120-139
8.60%
▼1.1
180-199
4.80%
–
160-179
2.55%
▼0.6
200 or more
2.10%
–
100-119
0.85%
–
Probability over time
140-159
120-139
180-199
160-179
200 or more
100-119
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
