How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?

Most likely right now
Greater than 8
1.055%
OtherVol $723Total volume $15KLiquidity $6.5Kin 10 months (Jun 30)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Greater than 8
54.5%
1.0
8
22.0%
7
13.0%
0.5
6
9.80%
8.6
5
1.10%
Fewer than 5
0.60%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.