How many US births in 2026?
Polymarket traders put "3.56M–3.59M" at 33.5% on "How many US births in 2026?". $1.9K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on May 1.
Most likely right now
3.56M–3.59M
–34%
EconomyVol $1.9KTotal volume $1.9KLiquidity $4.9Kin 6 months (May 1)
Current probability
Oct 29 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
3.56M–3.59M
33.5%
–
3.53M–3.56M
29.0%
–
3.59M–3.62M
14.5%
–
3.65M+
9.00%
–
3.62M–3.65M
8.55%
–
3.50M–3.53M
7.00%
–
<3.50M
5.55%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
