Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?

Most likely right now
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?
0.552%
PoliticsVol $4.5KTotal volume $34KLiquidity $43KComments 5in 5 days (Aug 30)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?
52.0%
0.5

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.