Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
Most likely right now
August 17
▲50.060%
PoliticsVol $4.5KTotal volume $181KLiquidity $160Kin 7 days (Aug 31)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
August 17
59.6%
▲50.0
August 24
50.5%
▲37.0
August 31
38.0%
▲27.5
August 25
27.5%
▲15.0
August 18
21.5%
▲3.0
August 26
16.5%
▲3.0
August 30
15.5%
–
August 29
14.0%
▲4.5
August 28
11.5%
▼2.0
August 27
11.0%
▼3.0
August 23
2.25%
–
August 22
0.90%
–
August 21
0.85%
–
August 20
0.00%
▼0.7
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
