ISM Manufacturing PMI - October 2026
Polymarket traders put "52.0 to 52.9" at 24.5% on "ISM Manufacturing PMI - October 2026". Up 11.0%p from yesterday. $1.0K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 2.
Most likely right now
52.0 to 52.9
▲11.025%
EconomyVol $1.0KTotal volume $1.0KLiquidity $2.6Kin 1 months (Nov 2)
Current probability
Oct 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
52.0 to 52.9
24.5%
▲11.0
53.0 to 53.9
19.5%
▲7.0
54.0 to 54.9
19.0%
▲2.0
55.0 to 55.9
15.5%
▲2.5
57.0 to 57.9
15.5%
▲2.5
56.0 to 56.9
13.5%
▼3.5
51.0 to 51.9
12.5%
▼0.5
<51.0
9.25%
▼3.8
58.0 to 58.9
5.50%
▼7.5
59.0+
3.65%
▼9.3
Probability over time
52.0 to 52.9
53.0 to 53.9
54.0 to 54.9
55.0 to 55.9
57.0 to 57.9
56.0 to 56.9
2026-10-02 ~ 2026-10-03 · y-axis %
