ISM Services PMI - October 2026

Polymarket traders put "59.0+" at 23.5% on "ISM Services PMI - October 2026". $2.7K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
59.0+
–24%
EconomyVol $2.7KTotal volume $2.7KLiquidity $4.2Kin 29 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 7 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
59.0+
23.5%
–
58.0 to 58.9
21.0%
–
55.0 to 55.9
19.5%
–
57.0 to 57.9
16.5%
–
56.0 to 56.9
13.5%
–
52.0 to 52.9
12.0%
–
51.0 to 51.9
11.0%
–
53.0 to 53.9
8.50%
–
54.0 to 54.9
7.00%
–
<51.0
4.00%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.