Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Amal Movement (Amal)" at 0.9% on "Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner". $6 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 23 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 1.
Most likely right now
Amal Movement (Amal)
–1%
PoliticsVol $6Total volume $677KLiquidity $271KComments 14in 1 months (Nov 1)
Current probability
Sep 22 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Amal Movement (Amal)
0.90%
–
Hezbollah (Hezb)
0.20%
–
Lebanese Forces (LF)
0.05%
–
Free Patriotic Movement (FPM)
0.05%
–
Progressive Socialist Party (PSP)
0.05%
–
Kataeb Party (Kataeb)
0.05%
–
Armenian Revolutionary Federation (ARF)
0.05%
–
Marada Movement (MM)
0.05%
–
Independence Movement (IM)
0.05%
–
Taqaddom Party
0.05%
–
Islamic Charitable Projects Association (ICPA)
0.05%
–
Islamic Group (IG)
0.05%
–
Union Party (UP)
0.05%
–
Arab Socialist Ba'ath Party in Lebanon (Ba'ath)
0.05%
–
National Liberal Party (NLP)
0.05%
–
Lana – Social Democratic Party (Lana)
0.05%
–
Mada Party (Mada)
0.05%
–
Khatt Ahmar
0.05%
–
Popular Nasserist Organization (PNO)
0.05%
–
National Dialogue Party (NDP)
0.05%
–
Dignity Movement (DM)
0.05%
–
Watani Alliance (Watani)
0.05%
–
ReLebanon
0.05%
–
Probability over time
Amal Movement (Amal)
Hezbollah (Hezb)
Lebanese Forces (LF)
Free Patriotic Movement (FPM)
Progressive Socialist Party (PSP)
Kataeb Party (Kataeb)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-09-22 · y-axis %
