MA-04 Democratic Primary Winner

Most likely right now
Jake Auchincloss
2.196%
PoliticsVol $103Total volume $17KLiquidity $26Kin 8 days (Sep 1)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Jake Auchincloss
95.5%
2.1
Jason Poulos
2.90%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.