Marathon Fusion gold yield of 0.1+ per fusion neutron confirmed by...?

Polymarket traders put "June 30" at 39.5% on "Marathon Fusion gold yield of 0.1+ per fusion neutron confirmed by...?". Down 3.0%p from yesterday. $1 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jul 1.

Most likely right now
June 30
▼3.040%
TechVol $1Total volume $1Liquidity $198in 8 months (Jul 1)
Current probability

Oct 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
June 30
39.5%
▼3.0
December 31
27.5%
▼14.5

Probability over time

June 30
December 31
025507510010/2410/2510/26
2026-10-24 ~ 2026-10-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.