Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory
Most likely right now
Markey 20–25%
▲0.543%
PoliticsVol $55Total volume $333Liquidity $9.5Kin 7 days (Sep 1)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Markey 20–25%
43.0%
▲0.5
Markey 25–30%
27.5%
▼15.0
Markey 30–35%
26.5%
▼12.0
Markey 10–15%
25.5%
▼11.5
Markey 40%+
22.0%
▲0.5
Markey 5–10%
21.5%
▼13.0
Moulton <5%
19.5%
▼4.5
Markey 35–40%
19.0%
▼5.0
Markey <5%
18.5%
▼6.5
Markey 15–20%
13.5%
▼20.0
Moulton 5%+
5.00%
▲0.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
