Meta's Watermelon Model: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

Polymarket traders put "40%+" at 86.0% on "Meta's Watermelon Model: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?". $515 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jun 30.

Most likely right now
40%+
–86%
TechVol $515Total volume $515Liquidity $788in 9 months (Jun 30)
Current probability

Sep 29 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
40%+
86.0%
–
50%+
73.5%
–
55%+
17.0%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.