Meta's Watermelon Model: Text Arena Debut?

Polymarket traders put "1480+" at 81.5% on "Meta's Watermelon Model: Text Arena Debut?". $198 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jun 30.

Most likely right now
1480+
–82%
TechVol $198Total volume $198Liquidity $1.2Kin 9 months (Jun 30)
Current probability

Sep 29 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
1480+
81.5%
–
1490+
75.5%
–
1500+
56.5%
–
1505+
49.5%
–
1510+
24.0%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.