Meta's Watermelon released on...?
Polymarket traders put "October 26" at 42.0% on "Meta's Watermelon released on...?". $2.4K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 32 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 31.
Most likely right now
October 26
–42%
TechVol $2.4KTotal volume $2.4KLiquidity $4.3KComments 1in 1 months (Oct 31)
Current probability
Sep 29 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
October 26
42.0%
–
October 29
41.0%
–
October 19
39.4%
–
October 12
39.0%
–
October 2
37.5%
–
October 24
28.0%
–
October 30
27.0%
–
October 31
27.0%
–
October 20
26.5%
–
October 6
26.0%
–
No release by October 31
26.0%
–
October 8
25.5%
–
October 21
24.5%
–
October 14
24.0%
–
October 28
23.0%
–
October 7
21.5%
–
October 9
16.5%
–
October 13
15.0%
–
October 15
13.0%
–
October 22
10.5%
–
October 16
9.50%
–
October 10
7.50%
–
On or prior to October 1
7.00%
–
October 11
5.50%
–
October 5
4.50%
–
October 17
4.00%
–
October 3
3.50%
–
October 18
3.50%
–
October 23
3.50%
–
October 25
3.50%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
