Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory

Most likely right now
El-Sayed <5%
99%
PoliticsVol $243Total volume $218KLiquidity $67KComments 2Closed (Aug 4)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
El-Sayed <5%
99.4%
El-Sayed 15–20%
0.35%
El-Sayed 5–10%
0.25%
El-Sayed 25%+
0.05%
El-Sayed 20–25%
0.05%
El-Sayed 10–15%
0.05%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.