Next Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by...?

Polymarket traders put "January 31" at 64.0% on "Next Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by...?". Up 36.5%p from yesterday. $140 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Feb 1.

Most likely right now
January 31
▲36.564%
TechVol $140Total volume $140Liquidity $342in 4 months (Feb 1)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
January 31
64.0%
▲36.5
December 31
27.0%
▼23.0

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.