Next Claude Opus Model (5.6+): Text Arena Debut?

Polymarket traders put "1510+" at 61.0% on "Next Claude Opus Model (5.6+): Text Arena Debut?". $2.5K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jul 1.

Most likely right now
1510+
–61%
TechVol $2.5KTotal volume $2.5KLiquidity $1.2Kin 9 months (Jul 1)
Current probability

Sep 29 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
1510+
61.0%
–
1520+
31.0%
–
1530+
19.5%
–
1540+
15.5%
–
1550+
8.00%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.