Next Claude Opus Model (5.6+): Text Arena Debut?

Polymarket traders put "1510+" at 82.0% on "Next Claude Opus Model (5.6+): Text Arena Debut?". $12 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jul 1.

Most likely right now
1510+
–82%
TechVol $12Total volume $15KLiquidity $2.5Kin 8 months (Jul 1)
Current probability

Nov 12 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
1510+
82.0%
–
1520+
50.5%
▲0.5
1530+
48.0%
▲1.0
1540+
19.0%
–
1550+
12.5%
–

Probability over time

1510+
1520+
1530+
1540+
1550+
02550751009/2910/710/1510/2310/3111/811/12
2026-09-29 ~ 2026-11-12 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.