Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 88.0% on "Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by...?". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. $185 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.

Most likely right now
December 31
▼1.088%
TechVol $185Total volume $17KLiquidity $3.0Kin 2 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Nov 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
88.0%
▼1.0
November 30
58.5%
▼3.5

Probability over time

December 31
November 30
02550751009/2510/310/1110/1910/2711/411/9
2026-09-25 ~ 2026-11-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.