Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by...?

Polymarket traders put "Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by...?" at 64.5%. $20 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 31.

Most likely right now
January 31
–65%
TechVol $20Total volume $20Liquidity $277in 4 months (Jan 31)
Current probability

Sep 30 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
January 31
64.5%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.