Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by...?

Polymarket traders put "January 31" at 53.5% on "Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by...?". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $12 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 31.

Most likely right now
January 31
▼0.554%
TechVol $12Total volume $4.5KLiquidity $726in 3 months (Jan 31)
Current probability

Nov 12 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
January 31
53.5%
▼0.5
December 31
31.0%
–

Probability over time

January 31
December 31
02550751009/3010/810/1610/2411/111/911/12
2026-09-30 ~ 2026-11-12 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.